Did you know that almost 50% of Americans have placed a sports bet at least once in their lifetime?
Betting on NFL games can be profitable if you know what you’re doing, but the process of making informed picks is daunting for most people.
If you’re like most people, then you probably feel overwhelmed when trying to make a pick against the spread. There are so many factors to consider – who’s injured, how well is each team playing, what’s the weather going to be like – that it’s hard to know where to start.
But don’t worry. Keep reading because our NFL expert picks guide takes all of those factors into account and provides an easy-to-follow system for making winning bets. We break down each game every week and give our readers a step-by-step analysis of how to make the best possible pick.
What Are NFL Expert Picks?
Every week during the NFL season, so-called “experts” release their predictions for that week’s games. These picks can be found in newspapers and online, and are often used by bettors when placing wagers. But how do these experts make their picks?
There is no one answer to this question, as different experts have different methods. Some use statistical analysis, while others rely on their gut feeling or knowledge of the teams.
The important thing to remember is that expert picks are not always accurate. They can be quite wrong at times. This is why it’s important to do your research before placing any bets.
What Are the Main Factors Considered During NFL Expert Picks?
There are several factors that experts consider when making their NFL picks. A few of the most significant include:
Recent Form
Recent form is one of the most important factors to consider when predicting the outcome of a match. A team that is in good form is more likely to maintain its performance level, whereas a team that is in poor form is more likely to see a drop in its performance. Looking at recent results can therefore give you an idea of which team is more likely to win.
In addition, it is also important to look at how each team has been playing. If one team has been playing well but not getting the results, they may be due for a win.
Conversely, if a team has been winning but playing poorly, they could be due for a loss. Taking both recent results and form into account can give you a better idea of which team is more likely to come out on top.
Head-To-Head Records
Head-to-head records can be a useful predictor of how two teams will fare against each other in a given matchup. If one team has unfailingly thrashed the other, then this could be a useful indicator of who will come out on top this time around.
Of course, past results are not always the best indicator of future success, but they can give some insight into how the two teams match up against each other. In addition to looking at head-to-head records, it is also important to consider other factors such as recent form, injury concerns, and home-field advantage.
By taking all of these factors into account, you can get a better sense of which team is more likely to win.
Injuries
Injuries are always a huge factor in any sporting event. They can often be the difference between winning and losing. If one team is missing key players, then this could swing the game in the other team’s favor. This was the case in the Super Bowl this year when the Eagles were without their starting quarterback.
The backup did an admirable job, but he wasn’t able to lead the team to victory. This just goes to show how important it is for teams to have depth on their rosters in case of injuries. No one knows when they might happen, so it’s always good to be prepared.
Home-Field Advantage
When it comes to predicting the outcome of a sporting event, there are several factors to consider. One important factor is whether or not the game is being played at one team’s home stadium. Home teams often have a better chance of winning, due to the support of the home crowd and the familiarity of the playing field.
In addition, home teams are more likely to be familiar with the local weather conditions, which can give them an advantage over their opponents. As a result, if two teams are evenly matched in terms of ability, the home team is more likely to come out on top.
Consequently, when making predictions, it is important to take into account whether or not a team has a home-field advantage.
These are just some of the main factors that experts take into account when making their picks. Remember, though, that no matter how much research you do, there is always some element of luck involved in sports betting.
How to Make Smart NFL Expert Picks?
If you want to win money betting on NFL games, then it’s important to make smart picks. Here are some tips to help you do just that:
Do Your Research
The majority of people who bet on sports rely on expert picks to tell them what to do. While experts can provide useful insights, they are not always right. This is why it’s important to do your research before placing any bets. Look at things like recent form, head-to-head records, and injuries when making your decisions.
By taking the time to assess all the relevant information, you’ll be in a much better position to make winning bets. So next time you’re thinking about placing a bet, remember to do your research first.
Bet on Underdogs
While it may not always be the safest bet, there can be a lot of value in betting on underdogs. These are teams or athletes that are not expected to win but could cause an upset. If you can find an underdog that you think has a good chance of winning, then you could make some nice profits.
Of course, there is always a risk involved when betting on an underdog. They may not perform as well as expected, or the favorite could simply be too strong. However, if you do your research and place your bets wisely, betting on underdogs can be a profitable endeavor.
So next time you’re considering placing a bet, don’t be afraid to take a chance on the underdog.
Don’t Chase Losses
Chasing losses is a dangerous gambling strategy that can often lead to big losses. The basic idea is to try to win back money that you’ve lost by betting even more. For example, let’s say you’re playing blackjack and you lose $50. You might be tempted to bet $100 on the next hand to win back your losses.
However, this is a risky move that could easily lead to you losing even more money. instead of chasing your losses, it’s best to take a step back and reassess your strategy. This way you can avoid making any impulsive decisions that could end up costing you dearly.
What Are the Various Types of NFL Expert Picks?
There are a few different types of NFL expert picks that you’ll come across. These include:
Straight-up Picks
The upcoming NFL season is sure to be full of surprises, but there are still a few things that we can count on. For example, it’s a safe bet that the New England Patriots will once again be one of the best teams in the league. Led by quarterback Tom Brady and head coach Bill Belichick, the Patriots have won six Super Bowls since 2001.
They also have a strong core of veteran players, including wide receiver Julian Edelman and linebacker Dont’a Hightower. So while there may be some ups and downs during the season, it’s likely that the Patriots will once again be one of the top teams in the league come January.
Against the Spread Picks
Many people who bet on sports choose to do so against the spread. This means that they are taking into account the point spread when making their picks. The team they pick must not only win the game but also win by more than the point spread.
This can be a challenge, but it can also be very rewarding if you are successful. Against the spread, picks can be very profitable for those who know what they are doing. However, it is important to remember that there is always risk involved and you should never bet more than you can afford to lose.
Over/Under Picks
Sports betting can be a fun and exciting way to add an extra level of excitement to your favorite games. One popular type of bet is the over/under pick, which is based on the total points scored in a game. To make an over/under pick, you’ll need to predict whether the final score will be over or under a certain amount.
For example, if the over/under for a football game is set at 48 points, you would bet on the over if you think the final score will be 49 or more points, and you would bet on the under if you think the final score will be 47 or fewer points. Over/under picks can be challenging to make, but they can also be very rewarding if you’re able to correctly predict the outcome.
Prop Bets
Prop bets are a popular way to add excitement to any game. By betting on things that could happen during play, fans can increase their investment in the outcome of the contest. Prop bets can be based on individual players or teams, and they can cover a wide range of potential outcomes.
For example, you might bet on how many yards a certain player will run for, or whether a team will score first. With so many possibilities, prop betting can add an extra level of excitement to any game. Whether you’re a casual fan or a die-hard supporter, prop betting is a great way to get more out of your viewing experience.
If you’re new to sports betting, then it’s important to understand these different types of bets. This will help you make more informed decisions when placing your NFL expert picks.
How Accurate Are NFL Expert Picks?
NFL expert picks are not always accurate. They’re usually wrong about half the time. This is because there is a lot of luck involved in sports betting. However, if you do your research and bet smartly, then you can still make some profitable picks.
How to Get the Best NFL Expert Picks?
There are a number of factors to consider when choosing a handicapping service. First, you’ll want to make sure that the service has a good reputation. You can check this by reading reviews or talking to other bettors. Second, you’ll want to make sure that the service offers a money-back guarantee.
This will protect you in case the picks don’t perform as well as expected. Finally, you’ll want to make sure that the service offers picks for all NFL games. This way, you can be sure that you’re getting the most comprehensive coverage possible. By following these simple tips, you can be sure that you’re getting the best NFL picks available.
You can also use Oddstrader NFL computer picks to find the best NFL betting suggestions.
Ready to Find the Best NFL Expert Picks?
The NFL is a league that’s constantly changing, which is why it can be tricky to make accurate picks each week. But with the right information, you too can become an expert on NFL lines and NFL odds.
Want to learn more about NFL expert picks? Check out our blog for more articles like this.
